THE INTELLIGENCE LAYER.
FOR PREDICTION MARKETS.
Actionable trading signals for Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Coinbase. Real-time arbitrage detection, deep market analysis, and execution-ready insights. All from one API.
THE PROBLEM.
Prediction markets are full of mispriced events, but finding them requires deep research across multiple platforms, plus speed to act before the edge disappears.
Manual research across prediction markets takes hours per event
Cross-platform price gaps close before you can act on them
No systematic way to identify mispriced odds at scale
Market-moving events happen 24/7 and you can't watch everything
THE SOLUTION.
An intelligence platform that continuously monitors, analyzes, and surfaces opportunities across prediction markets so you can focus on execution.
Get actionable trading signals on any market in under 60 seconds
Instant alerts when cross-platform spreads exceed your threshold
Systematic edge detection surfaces mispriced odds across every category
Always-on monitoring means you never miss a market-moving event
ECOSYSTEM.
Access prediction market intelligence however you build.
Discord
Community + Alerts
Real-time market alerts, whale trade signals, and discussion threads across every category.
For Traders
OpenClaw Skill
rekko on ClawHub
Prediction market intelligence as a skill for AI agents. Plug Rekko into your agentic workflows.
For AI Agents
REST APIs
Direct + RapidAPI
Structured prediction market analysis, odds scoring, and edge detection via REST endpoints. Self-service API keys.
For Developers
Documentation
Docs + GitHub
Integration guides, API reference, and open-source tooling for prediction market developers.
For Developers
CAPABILITIES.
DEEP MARKET ANALYSIS
Structured intelligence on any prediction market event. Every signal comes with confidence scoring, evidence-based reasoning, and a clear recommendation.
CROSS-PLATFORM ARBITRAGE
Instant detection of price divergences across Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Coinbase. Get alerted when spreads exceed your threshold, before the gap closes.
DEVELOPER API
Market data, trading signals, arbitrage alerts, and portfolio tools. All via REST. Built for trading bots, dashboards, and agentic workflows.
TRADING INTELLIGENCE
Position sizing, portfolio tracking, bankroll management, and performance analytics. Paper trade to validate strategies, then go live when ready.
ALWAYS-ON MONITORING
Continuous market surveillance with configurable alert thresholds. Large trade detection and automatic opportunity scoring across every category.
PLATFORMS.
First-class integration with the largest prediction market platforms. More on the way.
Kalshi
Connected- Real-time market data
- Price change alerts
- Volume & open interest tracking
- Direct trade execution
Polymarket
Connected- Real-time market data
- Cross-platform arbitrage
- Historical price analysis
- Portfolio tracking
Robinhood
Connected- Event contract markets
- Real-time pricing data
- Cross-platform arbitrage
- Market trend analysis
Coinbase
Connected- CFTC-regulated prediction markets
- Real-time pricing data
- Cross-platform arbitrage
- Coinbase app integration
LATEST ANALYSIS.
Recent AI-powered prediction market analyses with probability estimates, confidence scoring, and trading signals.
Bitcoin price between $60,000-$64,999.99 on Jan 1, 2027
The market currently prices this outcome at 6.35% implied probability, while my analysis estimates approximately 8% probability—a difference of only 1.65 percentage points. Bitcoin currently trades at ~$74,500, requiring a 13-19% decline to reach the $60,000-$64,999.99 target range, and must land precisely within this narrow $5,000 band (only 6.7% of current price) on January 1, 2027. Strong structural support exists above this range: $12.4B in Q1 2026 ETF inflows, Iran's Bitcoin oil settlement creating geopolitical demand, and February 2026's $60K low triggering a 23% rally. Expert forecasts cluster at $77K-$150K for end-2026, with even bearish scenarios projecting floors of $50K-$62K. The slight edge in my 8% estimate reflects that bearish scenarios do overlap with the target range and February 2026 proved these levels are touchable, but the precision timing requirement and Bitcoin's tendency to move through rather than consolidate within narrow bands makes this outcome unlikely. The market appears well-informed and fairly priced given the 8.5-month uncertainty window and Bitcoin's extreme volatility profile.
Will Steve Bannon be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
The market prices Steve Bannon winning the 2028 Republican nomination at 0.3% (odds of 0.003), which appears highly efficient and accurate. My independent estimate is 0.2% (0.002) — a trivial 0.1 percentage point difference that falls within estimation noise at these extreme tail probabilities. Multiple convergent evidence streams support near-impossibility: Bannon is officially listed as having "declined to be a candidate," his own allies told Axios in January 2026 that he "isn't serious about becoming president," he registers zero presence in Q1 2026 polling (while JD Vance leads at 52-53%), and his stated strategy is explicitly to be a "kingmaker" influencing policy through his War Room podcast rather than running himself. His CPAC support collapsed from 12% in 2025 to non-registration by March 2026. No modern precedent exists for winning a major party nomination without active campaigning, polling presence, or candidacy declaration 2+ years before primaries begin. The only conceivable pathway would require catastrophic simultaneous elimination of the entire top tier (Vance, Rubio, DeSantis) AND Bannon reversing his declination AND defeating secondary candidates — an ultra-black swan compound scenario. The market has correctly priced this as near-impossible.
Andrew Yang 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
The market prices Andrew Yang's chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination at 0.15%, while my analysis estimates 0.2%—a trivial difference that represents no actionable edge. Both assessments agree this outcome is virtually impossible. As of April 2026, Yang is actively building Forward Party infrastructure (attending state conventions in New Mexico and Utah just days ago on April 10-13), publicly criticizing the Democratic Party (April 5 interview stating he wants to "break the two-party system"), and has been a non-Democrat for 4.5 years since leaving in October 2021. For Yang to win the Democratic nomination, he would need to abandon his own party, betray the infrastructure he's currently building, re-register as a Democrat, and defeat well-funded establishment candidates like Newsom, Shapiro, and Harris—a scenario with no modern historical precedent. The market consensus is well-calibrated, with all evidence pointing toward Yang remaining a third-party leader through 2028.
Will House and Senate both be Republican-controlled in Feb 2027?
The market prices Republicans retaining both House and Senate control through February 2027 at 13.5%, while my analysis estimates 18% probability. The core challenge is the conjunctive requirement: BOTH chambers must remain Republican. The House outlook is particularly difficult—Republicans hold only a 218-213 majority (needing to lose just 4 seats to flip), face historical first-midterm headwinds where the president's party almost always loses House seats (averaging 20-30 seats), and confront economic challenges including 3.3% inflation, 1.4% Q4 GDP growth, and a 40% oil price spike from the Middle East conflict. Generic ballot polling and predictive models project Democratic gains exceeding the flip threshold. However, the Senate picture is much stronger—Republicans' 53-47 majority and favorable state map (22 of 35 contested seats but in GOP-leaning states) give them ~65-70% probability of retention. The most likely outcome (62% probability) is split control: Democrats flip the House while Republicans hold the Senate, which resolves this bet to NO. The 4.5 percentage point edge exists because 6.5 months allows meaningful time for economic improvement—potential Fed rate cuts, inflation moderation, and Middle East de-escalation could preserve the razor-thin House majority—but this represents only a modest mispricing given the significant uncertainties.
PRICING.
Transparent, usage-based pricing. Start free, upgrade to Pro for volume discounts, or pay per call via x402.
LISTING
DataRaw market data and price history
- Market listings & metadata
- Price history & OHLCV
- Volume & open interest
- Platform status
INSIGHT
IntelligenceAI-generated analysis and screening
- Analysis summaries
- Market screening & ranking
- Resolution intelligence
- Category breakdowns
- Edge detection
STRATEGY
SignalsTrading signals with execution guidance
- BUY / SELL / NO_TRADE signals
- Position sizing recommendations
- Portfolio strategy
- Execution guidance
- Trade reports
DEEP
AdvancedCross-platform arbitrage and correlation
- Arbitrage scanning
- Live spread detection
- Correlation analysis
- Webhook subscriptions
FAQ.
Common questions about prediction market trading, our API, and how rekko.ai works.
What is prediction market trading?
Prediction market trading involves buying and selling contracts on the outcomes of real-world events: elections, economic data, sports, weather, and more. Platforms like Kalshi (CFTC-regulated), Polymarket (crypto-native), Robinhood, and Coinbase offer yes/no contracts priced between $0 and $1. If you buy a YES contract at $0.65 and the event happens, you receive $1.00, a 54% return. rekko.ai provides the intelligence layer that helps traders identify mispriced contracts and act before the edge disappears.
How do prediction market bots use the rekko.ai API?
Trading bots call rekko.ai's REST API to get structured signals (BUY, SELL, or NO_TRADE) with confidence scores, position sizing, and execution guidance. A typical bot flow: poll the LISTING tier for market data, request STRATEGY-tier signals for actionable trades, and use DEEP-tier arbitrage scanning to find cross-platform price gaps. The API returns machine-readable JSON, so bots can parse and execute without human intervention.
What prediction market platforms does rekko.ai support?
rekko.ai currently connects to Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Coinbase. Cross-platform arbitrage detection runs continuously across all platforms, alerting you when the same event is priced differently on different platforms. PredictIt integration is planned for Q4 2026.
How does the prediction market API pricing work?
rekko.ai uses transparent, per-call pricing across four tiers: LISTING ($0.01/call) for raw market data, INSIGHT ($0.10/call) for AI-generated analysis and screening, STRATEGY ($2.00/call) for trading signals with position sizing, and DEEP ($5.00/call) for cross-platform arbitrage and correlation analysis. Start with 100 free LISTING calls and 10 free INSIGHT calls, or upgrade to Pro ($49/mo) for volume discounts.
Can I build a prediction market trading bot with rekko.ai?
Yes. Sign up for a free API key, then use the 27 REST + MCP endpoints to power your bot. The STRATEGY tier returns execution-ready signals (BUY/SELL/NO_TRADE) with Kelly-criterion position sizing and confidence scores. Pair that with the LISTING tier for real-time market data and the DEEP tier for arbitrage opportunities. The API is also available on RapidAPI if you prefer managed billing.
How does rekko.ai detect prediction market arbitrage?
rekko.ai continuously monitors the same events across Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Coinbase. When the price of an equivalent contract diverges beyond a configurable threshold (default 2%), the DEEP tier flags it as an arbitrage opportunity with the exact spread, suggested position sizes, and estimated profit after fees. Webhook subscriptions can push alerts to your bot in real time.
Is prediction market trading legal?
Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) and is legal for US residents. Polymarket operates on crypto rails and is available internationally. Robinhood offers event contracts through its existing brokerage platform. Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction, so check your local laws. rekko.ai provides market intelligence and educational content, not financial advice.
GET STARTED.
Start building with prediction market intelligence today. No subscriptions, no minimums. Pay per call.
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