THE INTELLIGENCE LAYER.
FOR PREDICTION MARKETS.
Actionable trading signals for Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Coinbase. Real-time arbitrage detection, deep market analysis, and execution-ready insights. All from one API.
THE PROBLEM.
Prediction markets are full of mispriced events, but finding them requires deep research across multiple platforms, plus speed to act before the edge disappears.
Manual research across prediction markets takes hours per event
Cross-platform price gaps close before you can act on them
No systematic way to identify mispriced odds at scale
Market-moving events happen 24/7 and you can't watch everything
THE SOLUTION.
An intelligence platform that continuously monitors, analyzes, and surfaces opportunities across prediction markets so you can focus on execution.
Get actionable trading signals on any market in under 60 seconds
Instant alerts when cross-platform spreads exceed your threshold
Systematic edge detection surfaces mispriced odds across every category
Always-on monitoring means you never miss a market-moving event
ECOSYSTEM.
Access prediction market intelligence however you build.
Discord
Community + Alerts
Real-time market alerts, whale trade signals, and discussion threads across every category.
For Traders
OpenClaw Skill
rekko on ClawHub
Prediction market intelligence as a skill for AI agents. Plug Rekko into your agentic workflows.
For AI Agents
REST APIs
Direct + RapidAPI
Structured prediction market analysis, odds scoring, and edge detection via REST endpoints. Self-service API keys.
For Developers
Documentation
Docs + GitHub
Integration guides, API reference, and open-source tooling for prediction market developers.
For Developers
CAPABILITIES.
DEEP MARKET ANALYSIS
Structured intelligence on any prediction market event. Every signal comes with confidence scoring, evidence-based reasoning, and a clear recommendation.
CROSS-PLATFORM ARBITRAGE
Instant detection of price divergences across Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Coinbase. Get alerted when spreads exceed your threshold, before the gap closes.
DEVELOPER API
Market data, trading signals, arbitrage alerts, and portfolio tools. All via REST. Built for trading bots, dashboards, and agentic workflows.
TRADING INTELLIGENCE
Position sizing, portfolio tracking, bankroll management, and performance analytics. Paper trade to validate strategies, then go live when ready.
ALWAYS-ON MONITORING
Continuous market surveillance with configurable alert thresholds. Large trade detection and automatic opportunity scoring across every category.
PLATFORMS.
First-class integration with the largest prediction market platforms. More on the way.
Kalshi
Connected- Real-time market data
- Price change alerts
- Volume & open interest tracking
- Direct trade execution
Polymarket
Connected- Real-time market data
- Cross-platform arbitrage
- Historical price analysis
- Portfolio tracking
Robinhood
Connected- Event contract markets
- Real-time pricing data
- Cross-platform arbitrage
- Market trend analysis
Coinbase
Connected- CFTC-regulated prediction markets
- Real-time pricing data
- Cross-platform arbitrage
- Coinbase app integration
LATEST ANALYSIS.
Recent AI-powered prediction market analyses with probability estimates, confidence scoring, and trading signals.
Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
The market prices Raphael Warnock's 2028 Democratic nomination at 0.6%, while my analysis estimates 0.8% probability—a negligible difference of 0.2 percentage points. Both assessments converge on the same conclusion: this is an extremely long-shot scenario with no meaningful edge. Warnock currently polls at only 1% nationally, trails far behind established frontrunners like Gavin Newsom (24.3% on prediction markets), has no visible presidential campaign infrastructure, and faces insurmountable historical precedent—no modern candidate has won a nomination from sub-1% polling 18+ months before primaries without major catalyzing events. While 18 months allows for potential black swan events (multiple frontrunner scandals, economic crisis demanding moral leadership), the base case remains that Warnock either never seriously enters the race or drops out early. The market appears efficiently priced and well-calibrated to current realities.
Rahm Emanuel wins 2028 U.S. Presidential Election
The market prices Rahm Emanuel's 2028 presidential victory at 1.5%, while my analysis estimates approximately 0.8% — roughly half the market price. This edge reflects structural handicaps the market may be underweighting: Emanuel is polling near the bottom of a crowded Democratic field 19 months before Iowa, faces severe liabilities with Black voters and progressives due to the Laquan McDonald shooting controversy, and confronts historical base rates showing no candidate outside the top-5 at this stage has won a nomination since 1976 without being an incumbent VP/President. While his active New Hampshire campaigning (117-mile bike tour, Dartmouth policy speech) demonstrates serious intent and retail politics skill, he faces formidable top-tier rivals (Buttigieg, Newsom, Harris, Ocasio-Cortez) with better positioning. To resolve YES, Emanuel must win both a competitive 50-state Democratic primary (~4-6% probability) AND the November 2028 general election (~25-35% conditional probability). The combined pathway probability of ~0.8% suggests modest market overpricing, though substantial uncertainty remains given the early timeline, unknown fundraising capacity, and potential for field dynamics to shift after the 2026 midterms.
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)
The market prices Todd Blanche's confirmation as Attorney General at 76.5%, while my analysis estimates a 68% probability—an 8.5 percentage point gap suggesting modest overconfidence. Blanche has been Acting AG since April 2026 and was formally nominated on June 8, with Senate Judiciary hearings scheduled for July 15-16. While favorable factors include Republican Senate control, prior confirmation as Deputy AG, and Judiciary Chair Grassley's support, significant risks remain: key GOP senators Cornyn and Tillis are publicly undecided with explicit warnings about the controversial $1.776 billion Anti-Weaponization Fund (blocked by federal judge in May), narrow Republican margins require near-unanimous party support, and the critical hearings haven't occurred yet. The market appears to be overweighting Trump's backing and Blanche's incumbent status while underweighting genuine intra-party uncertainty ahead of the July hearings, which represent a major information discovery event. Historical base rates (85-90% for same-party AG nominations) support confirmation, but mid-term replacements with controversy face heightened scrutiny, and Trump's previous AG nominees passed on narrow margins (52-47, 54-45).
LSU to win College Football Playoff National Championship
The market is pricing LSU at 6% (Kalshi) to win the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship, while my estimated probability is 4%. This represents a moderate overvaluation driven by off-season hype around Lane Kiffin's hiring and historic transfer portal haul (40+ transfers including 1 QB Sam Leavitt). While LSU has acquired elite talent, historical precedent strongly suggests that extreme roster turnover with only 9 returning starters makes year-one championship runs exceptionally unlikely (<2% base rate). The team projects as a fringe playoff participant (No. 9 seed, 8.5 win O/U) rather than a legitimate title contender. Key concerns include QB Sam Leavitt's unknown health status after a late-2025 foot injury, massive chemistry/cohesion risks, and a brutal November schedule (Alabama and Texas back-to-back). Major sportsbooks show significant disagreement (FanDuel 4.3% vs DraftKings 7.7%), with BetMGM reporting top-5 betting handle suggesting public money is inflating the price. The 2% absolute difference between my estimate and market price represents approximately 50% relative overvaluation, though confidence is moderate (0.55) given the pre-season timing and limited comparable historical situations.
PRICING.
Transparent, usage-based pricing. Start free, upgrade to Pro for volume discounts, or pay per call via x402.
LISTING
DataRaw market data and price history
- Market listings & metadata
- Price history & OHLCV
- Volume & open interest
- Platform status
INSIGHT
IntelligenceAI-generated analysis and screening
- Analysis summaries
- Market screening & ranking
- Resolution intelligence
- Category breakdowns
- Edge detection
STRATEGY
SignalsTrading signals with execution guidance
- BUY / SELL / NO_TRADE signals
- Position sizing recommendations
- Portfolio strategy
- Execution guidance
- Trade reports
DEEP
AdvancedCross-platform arbitrage and correlation
- Arbitrage scanning
- Live spread detection
- Correlation analysis
- Webhook subscriptions
FAQ.
Common questions about prediction market trading, our API, and how rekko.ai works.
What is prediction market trading?
Prediction market trading involves buying and selling contracts on the outcomes of real-world events: elections, economic data, sports, weather, and more. Platforms like Kalshi (CFTC-regulated), Polymarket (crypto-native), Robinhood, and Coinbase offer yes/no contracts priced between $0 and $1. If you buy a YES contract at $0.65 and the event happens, you receive $1.00, a 54% return. rekko.ai provides the intelligence layer that helps traders identify mispriced contracts and act before the edge disappears.
How do prediction market bots use the rekko.ai API?
Trading bots call rekko.ai's REST API to get structured signals (BUY, SELL, or NO_TRADE) with confidence scores, position sizing, and execution guidance. A typical bot flow: poll the LISTING tier for market data, request STRATEGY-tier signals for actionable trades, and use DEEP-tier arbitrage scanning to find cross-platform price gaps. The API returns machine-readable JSON, so bots can parse and execute without human intervention.
What prediction market platforms does rekko.ai support?
rekko.ai currently connects to Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Coinbase. Cross-platform arbitrage detection runs continuously across all platforms, alerting you when the same event is priced differently on different platforms. PredictIt integration is planned for Q4 2026.
How does the prediction market API pricing work?
rekko.ai uses transparent, per-call pricing across four tiers: LISTING ($0.01/call) for raw market data, INSIGHT ($0.10/call) for AI-generated analysis and screening, STRATEGY ($2.00/call) for trading signals with position sizing, and DEEP ($5.00/call) for cross-platform arbitrage and correlation analysis. Start with 100 free LISTING calls and 10 free INSIGHT calls, or upgrade to Pro ($49/mo) for volume discounts.
Can I build a prediction market trading bot with rekko.ai?
Yes. Sign up for a free API key, then use the 27 REST + MCP endpoints to power your bot. The STRATEGY tier returns execution-ready signals (BUY/SELL/NO_TRADE) with Kelly-criterion position sizing and confidence scores. Pair that with the LISTING tier for real-time market data and the DEEP tier for arbitrage opportunities. The API is also available on RapidAPI if you prefer managed billing.
How does rekko.ai detect prediction market arbitrage?
rekko.ai continuously monitors the same events across Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and Coinbase. When the price of an equivalent contract diverges beyond a configurable threshold (default 2%), the DEEP tier flags it as an arbitrage opportunity with the exact spread, suggested position sizes, and estimated profit after fees. Webhook subscriptions can push alerts to your bot in real time.
Is prediction market trading legal?
Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) and is legal for US residents. Polymarket operates on crypto rails and is available internationally. Robinhood offers event contracts through its existing brokerage platform. Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction, so check your local laws. rekko.ai provides market intelligence and educational content, not financial advice.
GET STARTED.
Start building with prediction market intelligence today. No subscriptions, no minimums. Pay per call.
Get notified about new features and platform launches